How Much Will Sea Level
Rise When The Ice Melts?

Investigation by Daniel Brockman

The Martini Hypothesis

The sea level will not rise as much as predicted because the water will spread out as it rises, for the same reason that the 2nd olive added to a martini raises the level of the liquid less than the 1st. o0o o0o
"...the ice thickness in the Arctic will be zero"

"...the bottom line is if we extend this trend in the ice volume, we have melted 30% or 33% of ice in 5 years ... so the next 10 years will be enough to actually remove it ... if we go to 2013, the ice thickness, the mean ice thickness, in the Arctic will be zero. I'm not predicting. I'm just saying that if this trend continues, that's what possibly might happen ..."
-- Wieslaw Maslowski, Naval Postgraduate School
ARCUS: Arctic Forum 2004 The Rate and Causes of Arctic Sea Ice Melt " o0o o0o
Sea Level will rise 70 meters (230 feet)

"Global sea level is currently rising as a result of ocean thermal expansion and glacier melt, both caused by recent increases in global mean temperature. Antarctica and Greenland, the world's largest ice sheets, make up the vast majority of the Earth's ice. If these ice sheets melted entirely, sea level would rise by more than 70 meters." o0o o0o
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
  • The Technical Summary (p.28) presents scenarios in which sea level rises up to 95 cm (3 feet, 1 inch) by 2100. o0o
  • Sea levels will continue to rise for millenia after CO2 emissions peak. o0o o0o
  • According to the full report, sea level will rise about 5 mm/yr on average, with a range of 2 to 9 mm/yr, rising about 38 cm by 2080. o0o

Additional Resources

Sierra Nevada, California
Mountains of the Moon, Africa

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